Below
are three example races - from different racemeetings - as
presented in the Speedguide.
Note that horses are listed in alphabetical
order with speedfigures. The first figure represents their
best speed performance. The figures in brackets indicate a
speed performance in the past 4 starts. This is called
'recent speed' and is a vital component of speed
assessment. A 'w' beside a speedfigure indicates a
performance achieved on a track rated as slow or heavy.
Race 5 AAMI Vase:
Carrara 157 (121,117w,134)
Extra Zero 122 (116w,122)
Hanks 175 (105,175,100)
Miss With Attitude 127 (127,110w)
Morossa 103 (103)
Spacecraft 112 (90,112)
Viking Legend 127 (127,105)
Speed best: Hanks; Carrara; Viking Legend
& Miss With Attitude.
Best recent speed performance: Hanks;
Carrara; Viking Legend & Miss With Attitude;
Extra Zero; Spacecraft; Morossa.
1 Hanks
2 Carrara
3 Viking Legend
4 Miss With Attitude
5 Spacecraft / Extra Zero
Hanks appeals as a horse with a future. Promising effort
when 4th in big speed event won by Shamoline Warrior -
looming up before peaking on his effort. Subsequently he
dropped back in distance & only got warm the final 400m
last start. Hard to beat. Carrara continues to perform well
in top company. Loves MV and barrier should aid him in
getting the extra trip. Viking Legend & Miss With
Attitude are both suited by this distance and must be
respected.
Hanks $9.50; $2.60. Spacecraft $2.80. Viking Legend $1.60.
Carrara 4th. Tri 444.50. ffour $1215.70.
Race 5 Blazer Stakes:
Augusta Proud 221 (92)
Beaming 193
Cats Whisker 199 (109,120,151)
Danehill Smile 164wscratched
Estee 149 (105,98)
Gold Water 212
Hot Danish 226 (127)
Jacqueline Rouge 212
Lady Lynette 171 (130)
Neroli 192w (136)
Pravana 121
Prima Nova 175
Romneya 185 (101,129)scratched
Tempest Tost 206
Velocitea 165 (143,136)scratched
Speed best: Hot Danish; Augusta Proud;
Gold Water & Jacqueline Rouge.
Best recent speed performance: Cats
Whisker; Velocitea; Neroli; Lady Lynette; Romneya; Hot
Danish; Augusta Proud.
1 Cats Whisker
2 Hot Danish
3 Neroli
4 Velociteascratched /
Romneyascratched
5 Tempest Tost / Gold Water
Cats Whisker has best recent speed for this after just
failing in the Stocks Stakes at MV when caught on the line
by Zarita. Impressive mare who still looks capable of
further improvement. Should be able to settle just behind
the speed in this & she loves track & distance.
Hard to beat. Hot Danish & continues to win in the best
mares company (even with huge weights). Big danger. Lots of
quality mares engaged with good chances to Neroli,
Velocitea, Romneya, Tempest Tost & Gold Water.
Cats Whisker1st $7.00. Gold Water 2nd. Dane Julia
3rd.
Race 7 Myer Classic :
Zarita 204 (136,151)
Jolie’s Shinju 216 (152)
Hot Danish 226 (127,187,209)
Typhoon Tracy 271 (223,261,271,251)
Neroli 193 (136,193,190)
Gold Water 216 (216)
Dane Julia 212 (209)scratched
Lady Lynette 184 (184,136,140)
Subtle Cove 185
Glowlamp 193 (193)
Emblem Of Liberty 204
Belleza Veloz 165w (108)
Messenger 88w (88w)
Speed best: Typhoon Tracy; Hot
Danish; Gold Water & Jolie’s Shinju; Dane Julia.
Best recent speed
performance: Typhoon Tracy; Hot Danish; Gold
Water; Dane Julia; Neroli & Glowlamp; Lady Lynette;
Jolie’s Shinju; Zarita;.
1 Typhoon Tracy
2 Hot Danish
3 Gold Water
4 Glowlamp / Zarita
5 Neroli
Can the wide barrier defeat Typhoon Tracy? There is lots of
early speed in this race (Jolie’s Shinju, Gold Water, Dane
Julia) and the expectation is that rival jockeys will all
be out to make Typhoon Tracy work as hard as possible. If
these go out quickly then it is likely that Luke Nolen
could slot in just behind them - and if they just try to
keep her wide then he could just clear them and lead. In
reality a wide draw can suit an on-speed horse as it allows
them time to muster speed rather than being pressed early
to hold a position from an inside draw. It appears to be a
race with all concerns really about defeating Typhoon Tracy
first - then considering the possibility of winning second.
With her past 4 speedfigures registering 223, 261, 271
& 251 she appears to be a class above even this classy
field. So maybe tactics can defeat her - although I don’t
believe so. Hot Danish will come in for a lot of support
given the scenario I have painted of this race. She appears
most likely to have a perfect run in transit (from
barrier 5) and benefit from the fixation on Typhoon Tracy.
Other chances include Gold Water (always underrated),
Glowlamp, Zarita & Neroli.
Typhoon Tracy $2.20. Lady Lynette 2nd. Zarita 3rd.